Remember this Stat–93.3 % This will be very important as the Hoyas head into conference play. No, it isn’t the collective GPA of the team after first semester finals, which ended Friday (that might be higher :-)). It is the Hoyas’ free throw percentage against the Charlotte 49ers in the second half, going 14 for 15 at the line, and it was critical in eking out a win at Verizon Center on Saturday afternoon. The Hoyas are 7-3 as they head to New York to meet the Indiana Hoosiers at the Garden on 12-27. On Saturday the Hoosiers took down Butler, 82-73, in a close and hard fought contest at Butler’s home in Indianapolis.
The Tale of Two Halves, Within Each Half! In each half the Hoyas surged then faded. Once leading by 14 in the first half, Charlotte (6-5) went on a 7-0 run to get to single digits at the half, 38-31. The teams entered the half with the momentum clearly on Charlotte’s side. The Hoyas came out of the break, after some halftime entertainment from the area’s Team Mascots, with great energy and on fire and again pulled away to a 60-44 advantage. The persistent 49ers used another run to close the gap to 70-63. As the Hoyas went cold, Charlotte’s Braxton Ogbueze hit consecutive 3s to pull within 2 (77-75) with 3:13 to go. Keyshawn Woods scored a bucket with 8.6 seconds remaining in the game leaving the Hoyas with a 79-78 advantage. Unable to hold onto comfortable leads due largely to a heavy reliance on the outside shot and the inability to get the ball inside, the Hoyas instead relied on points at the charity stripe in the final 30 seconds to close out the game. Aaron Bowen’s and L.J. Peak’s perfection at the line in the final minute, and Charlotte’s missed field goal attempt, sealed the victory for the Hoyas. Woods led all Charlotte scorers with 16 points.
Team Malaise, with Exceptions: How to assess the Hoyas’ performance on Saturday? Hopefully the team played with a Finals Hangover and aced all their exams in the last week. This game was all too reminiscent of the Heart Attack Hoyas of years past! In each half, just when it appeared that the Hoyas were taking control and would pull away, either the Hoyas lost their touch or Charlotte regained theirs. At moments it seems the team would lose focus, allow Charlotte an easy bucket or fall asleep on D. Defense was an issue on Saturday, yielding too many idea open looks to Charlotte, who knocked enough down to scare the Hoya faithful, shooting better both from the field (46%) and the 3-point line (38%) than the home team (Hoyas, 39& and 35%). The ultimate edge came at the free throw line, and while Charlotte hit more free throws (24 to 23), the Hoyas bested the 49ers in percentage made (77% to 72% for the game). The Hoyas also had the rebounding edge, 43 to 32.
Heroes of the Game: Freshman guard L.J. Peak and senior leader Jabril Trawick were critical to putting this one in the Win column. Peak again belied his freshman status and finished with 18 points, 5 for 12 from the field, 1 for 3 from 3-point line and a perfect 7 for 7 from the free throw line. Another nod to “reserve” Aaron Bowen, whom Coach JTIII seems to put in the game when the Hoyas need help. Another effort suggesting AB deserves more time in conference play? Bowen finished with 11 points in 17 minutes, went 3 for 6 from the field, hit his only 3, grabbed 4 rebounds, went 4 for 4 from the line, had a steal and hit his free throws in the final minute. Trawick had a double-double, adding 11 points and 10 rebounds for Georgetown with 3 assists. DSR is improving at the new point guard role, had 13 points in 31 minutes, and was perfect at the foul line. Yet he continues to struggle from outside, going 4 for 11 from the field and 1-4 from the 3-point line. That may work itself out in time as he transitions from his former role as scorer to current role as point guard and scorer. Frankly, the team now requires DSR’s point guard skills more than his shooting skills, thanks in large part to the infusion of new talent this season.
Charlotte Not a Cupcake: Make no mistake, the 49ers were not just a tasty cupcake. They entered the game with a significantly higher RPI (as much as you pay attention to it) than the Hoyas. On Friday night, their fellow Conference USA member UTEP took #3 Arizona down to the wire as the Wildcats eventually pulled away, only in the final minutes, to a 60-55 victory.
Three Concerns as the Hoyas Head to New York to Face the Hoosiers, and in Conference Play:
1. Big Man U, Reconstituted? While fans have a lot to be grateful for in the Super Freshmen who enrolled on the Hilltop this fall, they are all shooting forwards (Peak, Paul White and Isaac Copeland) and a guard (Tre Campbell). Josh Smith and Mikael Hopkins, while playing relatively well in the non-conference schedule, must play better and more consistently as we face our strong BIG EAST foes. Smith finished yesterday with 12 points in 21 minutes, going 4 for 7 from the field and hitting 4 of 4 free throws, 6 rebounds, 3 blocks and 4 fouls. Fouls remain a concern for Smith. Hopkins struggled to contribute against Charlotte, finishing with 2 points and 4 fouls. Is there a weak team in the BIG EAST, I ask, when Marquette and Georgetown have the most losses to date? JTIII played Bradley Hayes for limited minutes yesterday and he is our only other Big Man Option–at this point. Is Hayes ready to face the Bigs of the BIG EAST or will he spend the conference season on the sideline? What the Hoyas need to succeed in conference is to have Smith and Hopkins lift their game so that the Hoyas may threaten both from inside and out.
2. How Far Can the Three Ball Take Us?: The Flip Side of Concern #1 is if our inside big man game isn’t going, can the Hoyas be saved by their sharpshooters? At this point it is unclear how much the Hoyas will be able to rely on junior DSR as a sharpshooter, as he has been struggling from outside all season. If DSR doesn’t pick up his game, do the Hoyas have sufficient firepower among the freshmen overachievers Peak, White and Copeland, sophomore Reggie Cameron and senior Bowen?
3. Point Guard Play: DSR and Trawick have been carrying the load and while DSR is improving in the role as point guard, neither is a true point guard. The only true point guard on this team, freshman Tre Campbell, has seen substantial time in the non-conference schedule and is improving. However, the question is how Campbell will fare against the great, seasoned guards of the BIG EAST and whether he is ready for prime time or whether he will be relegated to the bench. With presses being thrown at the team, we will need all guards to handle the rock like a fine gem and avoid sloppy turnovers.
Miscellaneous:
Thanks to all of the local professional team Mascots for an entertaining Halftime Show with non-canine mascot Jack the Bulldog!
No thanks to the Officiating. You won’t find me calling foul against referees all season long because that is simply counterproductive and part of the game. However, on Saturday the refs were blowing “anticipatory whistles”. We all know the “late whistle” that comes several seconds after a foul. In this game, the whistles were sounding before the actual “offense” as the refs seemed to be predicting, sometimes incorrectly, what would happen next.
Please Stay tuned to LaurasProminentPlay for more analysis and insight during the holiday season. I’ll look forward to covering more hoops, the Hoyas and other college matchups and Bowl games as we enjoy this season.
Wishing all of my readers a joyous holiday season, Merry Christmas, continued Happy Hanukkah and a Happy 2015! Stay tuned, and follow me on Twitter @laurasprominentplay and like us on FaceBook.
To my fellow Hoyas, keep the faith and Hoya Saxa!!
Hoyas Struggle Mightily in New Year’s (Eve and Day) Loss to Xavier, 70-53
I had to chew on this for a day (Well, he helped me).
This wasn’t the way the Hoyas expected to enter 2015. Coming off an exciting, come from behind victory over the Indiana Hoosiers on December 27th and enjoying a Top 25 ranking for less than a week, Hoya fans assumed that nothing would come easy at Xavier on New Year’s Eve, in the finale of the BIG EAST New Year’s Even Marathon on Fox Sports One, yet expected a tight game, win or lose. In a day that brought some exciting BIG EAST basketball and showcased rising teams and players in what appears to be a talent-laden conference, the Finale was nothing but a huge disappointment for Hoya fans and clearly for the team and coach. The game started in 2014 and finished in the early morning initial minutes of 2015.
It will be difficult to point to anything positive that came from this contest so I will start with the Problems and end with the “Promise”. In no certain order, here goes:
1. Over-reliance on DSR and Josh Smith: Some may say the Hoya season will not be successful without the strong play of our junior guard and senior Big Man. However, this alone cannot be the strategy of this team or it will lead to failure. First, DSR. DSR led Hoya scorers in this game but clearly that won’t be the key to success unless he is capable of scoring 40 points per game, which he is not. The key to this team is a balanced attack and the team showed nothing of the sort on New Year’s Eve in Ohio. Not only did DSR get into early and uncharacteristic foul trouble, but the checking in and out of the game of DSR seemed to disrupt the team’s flow rather than contribute to a comeback. As to Josh Smith, foul trouble is a continued problem for him and the entire team that evening. Smth’s fouls continue to be a combination of his poor judgment and bad calls by the officials, yet to blame the Refs all season won’t be the answer. This game was billed in part as a battle between two BIG EAST Bigs, Smith and Matt Stainbrook of Xavier, and Stainbrook’s team came out on top in this contest. The Big Men seemed to neutralize each other. Fortunately for the Hoyas, there aren’t many other big men the size of Stainbrook in the BIG EAST.
2. Team Fouls and Turnovers: These have been a problem all season, to a greater or lesser extent, but when you commit 26 fouls and 16 turnovers (DSR and Josh each had 4 TOs), that alone is a very bad sign. It means sloppyness, frustration and difficulty handling the ball. The Hoyas never really had a handle on the ball, or the game, and the stats support that. Whether it was because DSR was on the bench for long stretches after two quick first half fouls, Josh was putting the ball on the floor (a “no no” from this point on, almost always leads to a turnover) or whether the freshmen were unprepared for conference play on the road, these are issues that must be corrected promptly, starting on Saturday 4:30pm vs the Creighton Blue Jays at home where the Hoyas will aim to go 1-1 in conference play. Smith, Trawick and Peak finished the game with 4 fouls each and Hopkins fouled out after playing 30 minutes, with 5 boards, 3 blocks , 2 steals and 0 points.
3. Horrendous Team Shooting: Shooting percentages were low across the board and while some may credit the Xavier defense with part of it, I wouldn’t give the Musketeers too much credit. With 36% shooting from the field, 15% from 3-point line and 68% from the free throw line, the Hoyas were off their game, not moving the ball well, finding the open man or missing shots, open or covered. Peak and Trawick, of the starters, finished with 6 points each and if Trawick had as great an offensive game as his will and fight on the court, the Hoyas would be golden. Same could be said of Sixth Man Aaron Bowen, who gives 110% every game. Bowen finished with 6 points on 2 for 6 shooting. Paul White was cold (although we know he can shoot). Hopefully the freshmen will shake off their nerves before the Creighton game. Campbell saw more minutes at point guard (14) and finished with 2 points, 3 rebounds and 0 turnovers (a good sign).
4. Lack of Confidence: There is no stat for this, but something that an observer sees. This is something I have seen with many Hoya teams barring that exceptional 2006-07 team led by Green, Hibbert, Wallace and Sixth Man Pat Ewing Jr. I am still awaiting another team with Swag who starts games thinking if not knowing that they should or will win, instead of playing scared or tentatively, and then finishes them.
For the Musketeers, power forward Jalen Reynolds led the team in scoring with a career high 17 points. Remy Abell, who played tough defense on DSR, and Dee Davis added 12 points each to lead Xavier, 10-3 and now 1-0 in conference play, over the Hoyas. While Xavier led 31-25 at the half and some Hoya fans may have expected their team to come out of the break hot as they did against Indiana, that did not transpire. Rather the Hoyas seemed to be out of this contest for the entire second half as Xavier gradually added to its lead. Xavier may end up being part of the top tier of the conference with Villanova and [Question Mark at this point–could it be Providence?] but that does not explain the Hoyas’ poor team performance.
Now, for the “Promise”:
1. Blocked Shots and Relatively Good Defense: The Hoyas blocked 10 shots and held the Musketeers 11 points below their season average. However, if you don’t score more than the other team, …. well, you know what happens.
2. DSR and Smith, the Flip Side: DSR scored 18 points for the Hoyas (8-4, 0-1), who had won three in a row and four of five. While Smith added 10 points, Xavier shut down the rest of the Hoya team and held them to their lowest point total of the season. Without a balanced and confident scoring attack, DSR and Smith are not going to carry this team through the conference season.
3. Super Freshmen: The sooner that White, Copeland and Peak and Campbell become part of the offense, the sooner the Hoyas will be successful. In my opinion, we need 5 scoring threats on the floor at most times to compete in this talented conference. If we can go even deeper on the bench, that would be helpful, although other than Cameron and Hayes, we have not yet seen much from Mourning. Will we have to wait until next season to see Trey?
So here’s to 2015, may it begin at home on 1-3 vs the Blue Jays. Will the Real Hoyas please stand up?